ING Asia economist Tim Condon says the Bank of Thailand too conservative | Bangkok Post: business

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Release the shackles

ING economist believes the central bank's conservative monetary policy is stalling Thailand's growth.

From 1987-95, Thailand enjoyed economic growth rates that ranked among the best in the world, at no less than 8% for any year during the time and peaking at 13% in 1988.

Condon: Country is underperforming

Then came the 1997 economic crisis. Since then, average growth has slowed significantly, with blame attributed variously to political unrest, natural disasters and global economic volatility.

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Your comments

  • Discussion 3 : 13 Mar 2013 at 18.113

    > ""It's not a broad reflationary environment. But we won't see plunges like in the past.""

    I can't wait to see Mr. Condon with his foot buried deeply in his mouth.

    The notion that "plunges" are now magically behind us is pure banker fantasy designed to maximize short term gains at the expense of everyone else.

  • Discussion 2 : 13 Mar 2013 at 12.032

    For Thailand to reach a sustainable 6 to 8% growth rate 3 important issues must be addressed: 1. enough skilled labour 2. good quality infrastructure 3. safety net for the poor. When moving from a 4% to a 8% growth country there is a lag between the growth rate and the benefits filtering down to the poor. During this lag inflation will increase which will have a negative impact on the poor. Without a safety net there could be socio-political instability which will impact hegatively on economic growth again. Secondly Mr. Condon drive outside BKK and you will see many roads that needs to be rebuild and which can't carry more vehicles.

  • Discussion 1 : 13 Mar 2013 at 11.361

    Great stuff in one corner of criticising BOT for being too conservative but he praised BOT for delivering price stability. That is the praise BOT would like to have from those critics.

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